In fact, Earth did cool somewhat between 1940-1970 due to a postwar boom in aerosol pollutants which reflected sunlight away from the planet. It sustains an enthusiasm in a subject that is gaining more and more import as new researches and global computer models give uncomfortable predictions about the future of humankind. According to the new “chaos” theories, in such a system a shift might even come all by itself — and suddenly. He proposed that Earth’s thin covering of air—its atmosphere—acts the way a glass greenhouse would. Follow forward an arrow This Website created by Spencer Weart supplements his much shorter book , which tells the history of climate change research as a single story.      Bibliography by year to 2001 The book presents a lively narrative of bickering scientists. However, the modelers had to make many arbitrary assumptions about clouds and the like, and reputable scientists disputed the reliability of the results. For two millennia, people around the world have been observing it with traditions and practices that are both religious and secular in nature. This Website created by Spencer Weart to see how the events that you are reading about gave something Your highlights will appear here. change How the climate would actually change now depended chiefly on what policies humanity would choose for its greenhouse gas emissions. (Most since then have been hotter.) The book shows how this problem is supposed to be the equalizer of humanity but is manifested into a division of believers and non believers. of external influences Meanwhile striking news came from studies of ancient climates recorded in Antarctic ice cores. These discoveries convinced most scientists that global warming is a serious phenomenon. Points (pdf), Reference/Utilities International Cooperation It is full of momentous scientific incidents and discovery and wide historical analyses and perspectives. ; 2003; $24.95. your browser's BACK Apparently the climate was so delicately balanced that almost any small perturbation might set off a great shift. Others calculated a 5°C rise or even more, an unparalleled catastrophe. Accurate or not, those perceived climate effects were merely local.      Wintry Doom The book not only reveals the history of global warming, but also analyzes the nature of modern scientific work as it confronts the most difficult questions about the Earth's future. BIBLIOGRAPHY by author in Hypertext  - methods, sources Solar activity began to decline, but the temperature soared faster than ever. Washington Concrete Examples – You’ll get practical advice illustrated with examples of real-world applications or anecdotes. Summary of the history of climate change Visionary – You’ll get a glimpse of the future and what it might mean for you. In the 1950s, Callendar’s claims provoked a few scientists to look into the question with improved techniques and calculations. One thing the scientists agreed on was the need for a more coherent research program. Book cover “Guy Stewart Callendar: Global warming discovery marked,” BBC News. the, You can print out individual essays using. As humanity burned fossil fuels such as coal, which added carbon dioxide gas to the Earth’s atmosphere, we would raise the planet’s average temperature. Source: Kiehl and Trenberth (1997). For hundreds of thousands of years, carbon dioxide and temperature had been linked: anything that caused one of the pair to rise or fall had caused a rise or fall in the other. This Website created by Spencer "use strict";(function(){var insertion=document.getElementById("citation-access-date");var date=new Date().toLocaleDateString(undefined,{month:"long",day:"numeric",year:"numeric"});insertion.parentElement.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(date),insertion)})(); FACT CHECK: We strive for accuracy and fairness. © 2003-2019 Spencer Weart and the American Institute of Physics, You can select topics the note, click on a reference to reach the bibliography—use Scientific American is part of Springer Nature, which owns or has commercial relations with thousands of scientific publications (many of them can be found at. That same year, independent analyses by NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) found Earth’s 2016 surface temperatures to be the warmest since modern record keeping began in 1880. Revelle's Discovery, Past Climate Cycles Arrhenius returned to his calculations, this time investigating what would happen if CO2 levels were doubled. This excerpt is from The Discovery of Global Warming, by Spencer R. Weart (Harvard University Press, 2008).. Revelle's Discovery But other inventions have backfired and proven to be detrimental in the long run. Overview – You’ll get a broad treatment of the subject matter, mentioning all its major aspects. Copyright      Arakawa's Computation Device  Interview By the 1930s, at least one scientist would start to claim that carbon emissions might already be having a warming effect. The early 1980s would mark a sharp increase in global temperatures. Just a moment while we sign you in to your Goodreads account. This is mounted on the Web site of the Center Book cover photo © AbleStock. "In The Discovery of Global Warming Spencer R. Weart lucidly explains the emerging science, introduces us to the major players, and shows us how the Earth's irreducibly complicated climate system was mirrored by the global scientific community that studied it." The Discovery of Global Warming February 2019 A hypertext history of how scientists came to (partly) understand what people are doing to cause climate change. In the end they did win their goal, which was simply knowledge. Great for the needed context. In the realm of infectious diseases, a pandemic is the worst case scenario. A clear concise description of the title. This is a good book about global warming. Whatever the cause of warming, everyone thought that if it happened to continue for the next few centuries, so much the better. In the tradition of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which was established in 1988 to evaluate and assess the state of global warming science, this book is roughly equivalent to the Technical Summary, in terms of its technical level, being quite readable, but with substantive content about the main lines of evidence.

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